28 Jun · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1563
FormLWLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zochniak
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1444
FormLWLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H45-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-36)