28 Jun · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1536
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1633
FormWWWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H20-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-5)