28 Jun · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1542
FormWWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kolek
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1444
FormLWLWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H18-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-8)