28 Jun · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1297
FormWLLWW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1627
FormWLWWW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~72 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
30%
2-3
19%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+330
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+330)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)