28 Jun · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1468
FormLWWWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1702
FormWWWWL
26%
74%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
20%
3-2
12%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+234
H2H100-60
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (100-60)