28 Jun · 22:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1465
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1468
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H80-61
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.