28 Jun · 22:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1533
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Szymik
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1452
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H20-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-10)