28 Jun · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1627
FormLWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Gumulinski
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1458
FormLLWLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H64-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-26)