28 Jun · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1465
FormWLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1627
FormLWWWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
21%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H104-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (104-41)