28 Jun · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1294
FormLWLLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1526
FormLLWWL
26%
74%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~75 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+232
H2H37-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+232)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-8)