29 Jun · 02:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1455
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1477
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.