29 Jun · 02:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1522
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Juszczyk
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1521
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H21-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.