29 Jun · 03:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1447
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1513
FormLWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H22-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-17)