29 Jun · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1309
FormWWLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1513
FormLWLLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+204
H2H53-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-18)