29 Jun · 03:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1490
FormWLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1690
FormLWWLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H100-61
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (100-61)