29 Jun · 04:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1478
FormLWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Krupa
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1358
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H14-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-7)