29 Jun · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1635
FormWWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Gumulinski
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1447
FormLLLLW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H81-72
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (81-72)