29 Jun · 05:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sulkowski
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H6-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)