29 Jun · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1682
FormWLWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Fomin
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1541
FormWWLLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H32-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-7)