29 Jun · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1642
FormWWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Gumulinski
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1440
FormWWLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+202
H2H65-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (65-26)