29 Jun · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1541
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sulkowski
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1468
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)