29 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1533
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolek
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1498
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.