29 Jun · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1686
FormWWLWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Fomin
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1381
FormLWLLW
79%
21%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
30%
3-2
20%
2-3
10%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+305
H2H12-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+305)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)