29 Jun · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1272
FormWLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1478
FormWWLLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+206
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)