29 Jun · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1687
FormWWWLW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Fomin
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1280
FormWWLWW
86%
14%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 85% · 1.17· vig 5%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
3-0
37%
3-1
31%
3-2
18%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+407
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+407)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)