29 Jun · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Balcerzak
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1532
FormWLLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)