29 Jun · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Balcerzak
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1486
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)