29 Jun · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1501
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Czerwinski
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1486
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.