29 Jun · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1470
FormLWWLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Michalik
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1183
FormLLLLL
78%
22%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
29%
3-2
20%
2-3
10%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+287
H2H33-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+287)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-12)