29 Jun · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1518
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Adamus
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1461
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 92% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+57
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)