29 Jun · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1376
FormLLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Machelski
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1195
FormWLLLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)