29 Jun · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1471
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1515
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 36% · 2.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H7-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)