29 Jun · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1688
FormWWWWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Fomin
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1459
FormLLWWL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~77 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
25%
3-2
21%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+229
H2H23-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+229)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)