29 Jun · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1513
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1601
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)