29 Jun · 11:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1650
FormWWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Balcerzak
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1487
FormLWLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)