29 Jun · 11:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1481
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tobiasz
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1400
FormLWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H44-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-23)