29 Jun · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1521
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1606
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H21-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-16)