29 Jun · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1468
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sobel
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1400
FormWWWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H29-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-28)