29 Jun · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1597
FormLWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Skotniczny
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1403
FormWLLWW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+194
H2H25-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-18)