29 Jun · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1452
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1513
FormWLLLL
43%
57%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 92% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+61
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)