29 Jun · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1531
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fomin
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H29-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-22)