29 Jun · 14:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1602
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skotniczny
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1534
FormWWWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H21-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-17)