29 Jun · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1445
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tobiasz
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1475
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+30
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.