29 Jun · 21:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Maciej Domin
ELO 1709
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Domin
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1564
FormLLWLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Domin
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+145
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)