29 Jun · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1523
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamus
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1475
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 92% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)