29 Jun · 16:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1592
FormLWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Skotniczny
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1445
FormLLLWW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 43% · 2.30· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)