29 Jun · 15:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1395
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1403
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H19-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.