29 Jun · 16:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1502
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1517
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 30% · 3.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.