29 Jun · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1544
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Fomin
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1395
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H29-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-25)