29 Jun · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1305
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1317
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H23-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.